Dry Season Forecast 2007 by BMG
Bogor, May 21, 2007
In March 2007, BMG has published a prediction of drought in 2007 which explains that the early dry season in most of the ZPI (Zone Climate Prediction) will take place between April and June 2007 with the properties of normal to below normal rainfall. For non ZPI areas, estimated cumulative rainfall during April - September 2007 generally ranged from 1000 to 2000 mm.
Associated with a regional phenomenon, the analysis also mentions that during the dry season 2007 sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific is expected to be in the normal range which leads to the absence of El Nino or La Nina.
Note: ZPI is Zone - A zone has a clear boundary between the period of the rainy season and the dry season, since 2005, BMG has set 220 as the ZPI zones in Indonesia.